Forecasts: 'Normal' 2012 Hurricane Season, a Bit Wimpier Than 2011
"In a year of wild weather so far, hardly anyone would use the word 'normal' in predicting what to expect in the future – except for long-range forecasters talking about the coming hurricane season.
On Thursday, AccuWeather.com predicted a 'near normal' season of hurricanes. To the weather forecasters in State College, Pa., this means 12 named tropical storms, five named hurricanes, and two major hurricanes. If this forecast materializes, it would be a marked improvement over last year, when there were 19 named tropical storms, seven hurricanes, and four major hurricanes, including Irene, which caused $18.7 billion in damage along the East Coast.
'Even though we are forecasting a normal hurricane season, it only takes one hurricane to ruin your day,' says Dan Kottlowski, senior meteorologist and lead hurricane forecaster for AccuWeather."
The Atlantic hurricane season begins June 1 and ends November 30.
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) typically issues its own hurricane forecast during May. It has not yet done so. The NOAA forecast is likely to be found on the sites of the NOAA National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center here or here .Source: Christian Science Monitor, 05/02/2012